Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manauara vs Goiatuba EC

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
1 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Ferreira J.
64' Event
Fabricio Pereira
89' Event
Gabriel Silva

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Manauara
30%
Draws
31%
Goiatuba EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manauara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Goiatuba EC haven't matched Manauara's recent run of results.
  • Manauara are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Manauara have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Goiatuba EC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Manauara Clean Sheet 20%
Goiatuba EC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manauara Goiatuba EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Manauara vs Goiatuba EC
1:3
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Goiatuba EC vs Manauara
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manauara Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabricio Pereira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Goiatuba EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manauara 42 / 100
Goiatuba EC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manauara Goiatuba EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manauara found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Goiatuba EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Manauara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manauara VS Goiatuba EC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manauara

(Home)
12 Jul
Manauara
1 : 3
Goiatuba EC
04 Jul
Goiatuba EC
0 : 1
Manauara
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Manauara
1 : 0
Sao Raimundo RR
Page 1 of 6

Goiatuba EC

(Away)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
08 Aug
Goiatuba EC
0 : 0
ASA
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3