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Manaus FC vs Unidos do Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2024 Arena da Amazonia, Manaus
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Roney
54' Event
Wendel
82' Event
Gabriel Correia

AI Match Summary

Manaus FC in this Amazonense 2024 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Manaus FC
40%
Draws
29%
Unidos do Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Manaus FC haven't matched Unidos do Alvorada's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Unidos do Alvorada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Manaus FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Manaus FC Clean Sheet 20%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manaus FC Unidos do Alvorada
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2024 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Unidos do Alvorada
4:0
Mar 2, 2024 Amazonense
Unidos do Alvorada vs Manaus FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manaus FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Roney
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wendel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Unidos do Alvorada Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manaus FC 32 / 100
Unidos do Alvorada 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manaus FC Unidos do Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manaus FC scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Unidos do Alvorada conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Manaus FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manaus FC VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manaus FC

(Home)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
31 May
Manaus FC
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
24 May
Manauara
1 : 1
Manaus FC
17 May
Sao Raimundo RR
0 : 1
Manaus FC
09 May
Manaus FC
0 : 2
Monte Roraima
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Unidos do Alvorada

(Away)
15 Jun
Penarol
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
06 Jun
Unidos do Alvorada
2 : 1
Manicore
01 Jun
Taruma
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
23 May
Unidos do Alvorada
1 : 0
RB do Norte
03 Apr
Manaus FC
4 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Manaus FC5
Sao Raimundo AM0
Princesa do Solimoes1
Unidos do Alvorada4
Manauara1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)0
Amazonas1
Parintins3
Semi-finals
Manaus FC4
Unidos do Alvorada0
Manauara1
Parintins2
Final
Manaus FC1
Parintins0