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Manawatu vs WaiBOP United

World World

Club Friendly 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
25'
27' Event

AI Match Summary

WaiBOP United in this Club Friendly 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored WaiBOP United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Manawatu
15%
Draws
42%
WaiBOP United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manawatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • WaiBOP United have won more games recently than Manawatu.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on WaiBOP United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Manawatu Clean Sheet 16%
WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manawatu WaiBOP United
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 2 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.86
Goals Conceded 3.97 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2013 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Manawatu
2:3
Dec 2, 2012 Football Championship
Manawatu vs WaiBOP United
2:3
Mar 17, 2012 Club Friendly
Manawatu vs WaiBOP United
1:3
Feb 26, 2012 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Manawatu
1:1
Dec 11, 2011 Football Championship
Manawatu vs WaiBOP United
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manawatu 10 / 100
WaiBOP United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manawatu WaiBOP United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WaiBOP United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

WaiBOP United let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Manawatu found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

WaiBOP United's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS WaiBOP United
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Manawatu

(Home)
24 Feb
Manawatu
1 : 4
Auckland City
17 Feb
Canterbury
4 : 1
Manawatu
10 Feb
WaiBOP United
2 : 3
Manawatu
03 Feb
Manawatu
0 : 6
Team Wellington
26 Jan
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Manawatu
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WaiBOP United

(Away)
28 Feb
Auckland City
4 : 1
WaiBOP United
20 Feb
WaiBOP United
4 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2
14 Feb
Hawke s Bay
2 : 0
WaiBOP United
07 Feb
WaiBOP United
2 : 3
Canterbury
31 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 1
WaiBOP United
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