Sport Picks
Mancha vs Atarfe Industrial
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Mancha and Atarfe Industrial finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mancha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atarfe Industrial
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Mancha have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Atarfe Industrial are scoring more at 1.17.
- Model gives Mancha a 32% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Mancha here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mancha Clean Sheet 20%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mancha | Atarfe Industrial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Atarfe Industrial
4:2
Dec 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Mancha
0:1
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Mancha
0:0
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Atarfe Industrial
3:0
Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Atarfe Industrial
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mancha 58 / 100
Atarfe Industrial 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mancha Atarfe Industrial
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mancha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Mancha's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Atarfe Industrial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Atarfe Industrial's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mancha VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mancha
(Home) 27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0 Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
05 Apr
Mancha
0 : 0 Melilla B
Page 1 of 3
Atarfe Industrial
(Away) 17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1 Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0 Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1 Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3 CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2 Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1 Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0 Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1 Atarfe Industrial
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2 Atarfe Industrial
13 Apr
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1 Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaen | 42 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 99:32 | 101 |
| 2 | Linares | 42 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 79:32 | 87 |
| 3 | Antequera | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 90:35 | 82 |
| 4 | El Palo | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 65:34 | 81 |
| 5 | Velez | 42 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 56:40 | 68 |
| 6 | Motril | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 79:59 | 68 |
| 7 | Loja | 42 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 68:64 | 62 |
| 8 | Mancha | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 59:52 | 60 |
| 9 | Alhaurin | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 73:69 | 59 |
| 10 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 74:59 | 58 |
| 11 | CD Torreperogil | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 43:52 | 58 |
| 12 | Huetor Vega | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 56:65 | 57 |
| 13 | Huetor Tajar | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 65:55 | 57 |
| 14 | CP Almeria | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 53:57 | 57 |
| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 72:66 | 56 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 57:65 | 53 |
| 17 | Rincon | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 45:63 | 52 |
| 18 | Martos | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 41:70 | 44 |
| 19 | Atarfe Industrial | 42 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 49:79 | 42 |
| 20 | UD San Pedro | 42 | 11 | 8 | 23 | 48:75 | 41 |
| 21 | Guadix | 42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 44:95 | 35 |
| 22 | River Melilla | 42 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 28:125 | 4 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
