Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Gomez J.
27'
27'
Tello A.
30'
30'
Ariza Y.
AI Match Summary
CD Alhaurino in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Alhaurino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Alhaurino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CD Alhaurino lately — more wins on the board than Mancha.
- Win probability leans CD Alhaurino's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mancha Clean Sheet 19%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mancha | CD Alhaurino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Mancha
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Alhaurino
2:4
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Mancha
0:1
Nov 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Alhaurino
1:1
Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Alhaurino
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mancha Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tello A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
CD Alhaurino Compare
Top Goalscorer Ariza Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mancha 24 / 100
CD Alhaurino 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mancha CD Alhaurino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Alhaurino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: CD Alhaurino conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Mancha's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Mancha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mancha VS CD Alhaurino
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mancha
(Home) 13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
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05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
05 Apr
Mancha
0 : 0 Melilla B
21 Mar
Mancha
1 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
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CD Alhaurino
(Away) 13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0 Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
03 May
Arenas Armilla
0 : 1 CD Alhaurino
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
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13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
03 May
Arenas Armilla
0 : 1 CD Alhaurino
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
05 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 CD Alhaurino
22 Mar
UD San Pedro
0 : 0 CD Alhaurino
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
