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Mancha vs CD Torreperogil

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Mancha Logo

Mancha

3 - 0
FT
CD Torreperogil Logo

CD Torreperogil

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Juanma
45' Event
Chica A.
76' Event
Corral P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Mancha and CD Torreperogil finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mancha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mancha
20%
Draws
60%
CD Torreperogil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Torreperogil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • CD Torreperogil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mancha taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Mancha Clean Sheet 68%
CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mancha CD Torreperogil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Torreperogil
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Mancha
1:1
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Torreperogil
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Mancha
0:0
Mar 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Mancha
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mancha Compare

Top Goalscorer Juanma
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chica A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Torreperogil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mancha 51 / 100
CD Torreperogil 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mancha CD Torreperogil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Torreperogil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Mancha found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Torreperogil's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mancha VS CD Torreperogil
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mancha

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 6

CD Torreperogil

(Away)
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3 : 0
CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)