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Mancha vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Zorrilla E.
66' Event
Ordonez J.
82' Event
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad de Torredonjimeno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mancha
35%
Draws
32%
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciudad de Torredonjimeno lately — more wins on the board than Mancha.
  • Model gives Mancha a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mancha Clean Sheet 20%
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mancha Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.94 1
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1:1
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Mancha
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Mancha
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mancha Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorrilla E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mancha 42 / 100
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mancha Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mancha scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mancha VS Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mancha

(Home)
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Mancha
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Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

(Away)
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2
Melilla
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2
Marbelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)