Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 game between Mancha and Comarca finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mancha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mancha come out ahead of Comarca on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Mancha's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mancha Clean Sheet 20%
Comarca Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mancha | Comarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Mancha
0:3
Dec 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Comarca
1:0
Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Comarca
0:0
Nov 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Mancha
0:0
Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Comarca
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mancha 85 / 100
Comarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mancha Comarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mancha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comarca let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Mancha found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).
Mancha has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Comarca lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mancha VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mancha
(Home) 10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Apr
Granada CF B
2 : 2 Mancha
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 Mancha
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
05 Apr
Mancha
0 : 0 Melilla B
21 Mar
Mancha
1 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
01 Mar
Mancha
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 4
Comarca
(Away) 17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1 Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3 Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1 Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1 Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 Comarca
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1 Comarca
14 Apr
Atarfe Industrial
3 : 0 Comarca
30 Mar
Marbella
4 : 0 Comarca
16 Mar
Melilla B
0 : 1 Comarca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loja | 40 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 87:33 | 86 |
| 2 | Union Estepona CF | 40 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 76:37 | 85 |
| 3 | Marbella | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 66:28 | 78 |
| 4 | Maracena | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 66:42 | 78 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 40 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 79:37 | 76 |
| 6 | Comarca | 40 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 57:34 | 70 |
| 7 | Mancha | 40 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 53:34 | 70 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 68:47 | 67 |
| 9 | El Palo | 40 | 19 | 8 | 13 | 63:57 | 65 |
| 10 | Martos | 40 | 18 | 5 | 17 | 49:45 | 59 |
| 11 | Melilla B | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 44:51 | 54 |
| 12 | CD Ronda | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 49:60 | 51 |
| 13 | Alhaurin | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 59:63 | 50 |
| 14 | Huetor Tajar | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 50:56 | 50 |
| 15 | Motril | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 51:47 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Nerja | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 41:57 | 46 |
| 17 | Velez | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 38:60 | 42 |
| 18 | Arenas Armilla | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 35:51 | 37 |
| 19 | Antequera | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 47:70 | 37 |
| 20 | Ciudad de Vicar | 40 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 22:78 | 18 |
| 21 | UD Carboneras | 40 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 6:119 | 4 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
