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Stadium Background

Mancha vs Los Villares

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Mancha and Los Villares finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Villares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Mancha
20%
Draws
65%
Los Villares
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Villares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Villares come out ahead of Mancha on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mancha Clean Sheet 20%
Los Villares Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mancha Los Villares
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.94 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Mancha
1:2
Oct 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Los Villares
3:1
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Los Villares
0:1
Dec 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Mancha
2:0
Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Mancha
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mancha 32 / 100
Los Villares 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mancha Los Villares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Villares Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mancha's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Los Villares has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mancha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mancha VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mancha

(Home)
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
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Los Villares

(Away)
15 May
Antequera
5 : 0
Los Villares
08 May
Los Villares
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Comarca Del Marmol
2 : 3
Los Villares
23 Apr
Los Villares
3 : 0
River Melilla
17 Apr
Martos
3 : 2
Los Villares
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)