Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Zorrilla E.
AI Match Summary
Mancha in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mancha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torre del Mar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Torre del Mar have won more games recently than Mancha.
- Model gives Torre del Mar a 54% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Torre del Mar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mancha Clean Sheet 21%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mancha | Torre del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Torre del Mar
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Mancha
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Torre del Mar
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Mancha
1:0
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Mancha
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mancha Compare
Top Goalscorer Zorrilla E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Torre del Mar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mancha 20 / 100
Torre del Mar 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mancha Torre del Mar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Torre del Mar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mancha scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Torre del Mar has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.
Mancha has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mancha VS Torre del Mar
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mancha
(Home) 20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0 Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
05 Apr
Mancha
0 : 0 Melilla B
21 Mar
Mancha
1 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 3
Torre del Mar
(Away) 20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0 Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
17 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
12 Apr
UD San Pedro
0 : 0 Torre del Mar
28 Mar
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 0 Torre del Mar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
