Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014

Alcazar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manchego Ciudad Real play Alcazar in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014. Manchego Ciudad Real are favorites here. Recently, Manchego Ciudad Real averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Alcazar averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. In past meetings, Manchego Ciudad Real won 3, Alcazar won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2015 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Manchego Ciudad Real and 1.06 for Alcazar. This points to a Manchego Ciudad Real double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%

Manchego Ciudad Real

15%

Draws

11%

Alcazar

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Manchego Ciudad Real picked up more points recently compared to Alcazar.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%

Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 22%

Alcazar Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Manchego Ciudad Real	Alcazar
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	17	1
Draws	7	4
Losses	8	25
Goals Scored	1.56	0.6
Goals Conceded	0.72	3.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Alcazar vs Manchego Ciudad Real

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

0:5

Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manchego Ciudad Real vs Alcazar

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manchego Ciudad Real vs Alcazar

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sep 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Alcazar vs Manchego Ciudad Real

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manchego Ciudad Real vs Alcazar

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 71 / 100

Alcazar 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Manchego Ciudad Real Alcazar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real Win (1)

Secondary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.5%

1.52

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Manchego Ciudad Real attacking → ← attacking Alcazar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchego Ciudad Real scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Alcazar let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Manchego Ciudad Real went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alcazar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 7

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Puertollano	38	31	5	2	88:18	98
2	Socuellamos	38	25	8	5	72:26	83
3	Villarrobledo	38	22	10	6	80:32	76
4	UD Almansa	38	20	12	6	53:36	72
5	CF Talavera	38	21	9	8	72:34	72
6	Villarrubia	38	16	10	12	48:56	58
7	CD Pedroneras	38	14	12	12	42:50	54
8	La Gineta	38	12	12	14	51:55	48
9	Atletico Ibanes	38	11	14	13	44:50	47
10	Quintanar del Rey	38	12	11	15	44:56	47
11	Manzanares	38	11	12	15	41:46	45
12	Albacete B	38	10	13	15	45:58	43
13	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	10	13	15	43:54	43
14	Hellin Deportivo	38	10	13	15	35:40	43
15	Alcazar	38	11	8	19	46:56	41
16	Mora CF	38	12	4	22	37:63	40
17	Madridejos	38	8	14	16	30:41	38
18	Illescas	38	8	12	18	39:59	36
19	Azuqueca	38	9	9	20	36:53	36
20	EF Zona 5 Albacete	38	2	9	27	34:97	15