Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Tarancon Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Manchego Ciudad Real
15%
Draws
31%
CD Tarancon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CD Tarancon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Manchego Ciudad Real are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • CD Tarancon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Tarancon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 68%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchego Ciudad Real CD Tarancon
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.29 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:1
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Tarancon
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Tarancon
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Manchego Ciudad Real
1:2
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Manchego Ciudad Real
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 46 / 100
CD Tarancon 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchego Ciudad Real CD Tarancon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchego Ciudad Real found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

CD Tarancon has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Manchego Ciudad Real went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manchego Ciudad Real VS CD Tarancon
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchego Ciudad Real

(Home)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
06 Jun
Albacete B
3 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 7

CD Tarancon

(Away)
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Toledo 0
Albacete B 1
CD Tarancon 0
Manchego Ciudad Real 1
Final
Albacete B 3
Manchego Ciudad Real 2