Sport Picks
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Valdepenas
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Manchego Ciudad Real play Valdepenas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025. Manchego Ciudad Real are favorites here. Recently, Manchego Ciudad Real averaged 1.53 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. Valdepenas averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Manchego Ciudad Real won 2, Valdepenas won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Manchego Ciudad Real and 1.06 for Valdepenas. This points to a Manchego Ciudad Real double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Manchego Ciudad Real picked up more points recently compared to Valdepenas.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.06 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manchego Ciudad Real | Valdepenas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.78 | 1.57 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manchego Ciudad Real Compare
Valdepenas Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Manchego Ciudad Real scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Valdepenas let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Manchego Ciudad Real went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Valdepenas lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 31:15 | 64 |
| 2 | Albacete B | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 63 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:17 | 62 |
| 4 | Villacanas | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 39:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Socuellamos | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:24 | 57 |
| 6 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 41:28 | 56 |
| 7 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 41:31 | 55 |
| 8 | Cazalegas | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 47:44 | 49 |
| 9 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:39 | 48 |
| 10 | Villarrubia | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:37 | 45 |
| 12 | CD Pedroneras | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:43 | 43 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 50:47 | 41 |
| 14 | Azuqueca | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 40:49 | 41 |
| 15 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 31:49 | 36 |
| 16 | Valdepenas | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 21:48 | 22 |
| 17 | Noblejas | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 30:69 | 18 |
| 18 | Manzanares | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23:72 | 15 |