Sport Picks
Manchester United vs AS Roma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Champions League Old Trafford, Manchester 
Match Events
11'
11'
Soule M.
Assist: Mora R.
17'
17'
Malen D.
(Penalty)
20'
20'
Soule M.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League game between Manchester United and AS Roma finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manchester United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Roma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Manchester United haven't matched AS Roma's recent run of results.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on AS Roma taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Manchester United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Manchester United Clean Sheet 10%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manchester United | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 2.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 Champions League
Manchester United vs AS Roma
3:2
May 6, 2021 Europa League
AS Roma vs Manchester United
3:2
Apr 29, 2021 Europa League
Manchester United vs AS Roma
6:2
Jul 26, 2014 International Champions Cup
Manchester United vs AS Roma
3:2
Apr 9, 2008 Champions League
Manchester United vs AS Roma
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manchester United Compare
Top Goalscorer Cunha M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
AS Roma Compare
Top Goalscorer Soule M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manchester United 10 / 100
AS Roma 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manchester United AS Roma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AS Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Manchester United's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: AS Roma conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Manchester United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Manchester United VS AS Roma
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Manchester United
(Home) 03 Nov
Manchester United
3 : 2 AS Roma
31 Oct
Chelsea
2 : 0 Manchester United
25 Oct
Manchester United
0 : 3 Bournemouth
21 Oct
Como
4 : 1 Manchester United
18 Oct
Leeds
1 : 1 Manchester United
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Manchester United
3 : 2 AS Roma
25 Oct
Manchester United
0 : 3 Bournemouth
10 Oct
Manchester United
1 : 1 Tottenham
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3 Brighton
13 Sept
Manchester United
0 : 1 Manchester City
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AS Roma
(Away) 03 Nov
Manchester United
3 : 2 AS Roma
31 Oct
Udinese
2 : 5 AS Roma
27 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 2 Cagliari
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3 AS Roma
20 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 0 Slovan Bratislava
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Manchester United
3 : 2 AS Roma
31 Oct
Udinese
2 : 5 AS Roma
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3 AS Roma
11 Oct
Como
0 : 0 AS Roma
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2 AS Roma
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Como | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Club Brugge | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 | Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 | Inter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 | LASK Linz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 | Galatasaray | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 | AS Roma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Shakhtar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 | Viking | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 | Atl. Madrid | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 | PSV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 | Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 | FC Porto | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 | Napoli | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 | Villarreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 | Sabah FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 | Feyenoord | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 | Lens | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 | Lille | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
