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Manchester United W vs Chelsea W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL Leigh Sports Village, Leigh
Manchester United W Logo

Manchester United W

0 - 5
FT
Chelsea W Logo

Chelsea W

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Nusken S.
Assist: Kaptein W.
32' Event
Walsh K.
Assist: Bronze L.
57'
Sub
Medina A. In: Sandberg A.
Out: Medina A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chelsea W in this WSL matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Manchester United W
20%
Draws
40%
Chelsea W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Chelsea W have won more games recently than Manchester United W.
  • Chelsea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chelsea W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchester United W Chelsea W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 22
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.79 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 WSL
Manchester United W vs Chelsea W
0:5
May 16, 2026 WSL
Chelsea W vs Manchester United W
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Women's League Cup
Chelsea W vs Manchester United W
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Manchester United W
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 WSL
Manchester United W vs Chelsea W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchester United W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chelsea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nusken S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walsh K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchester United W 10 / 100
Chelsea W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchester United W Chelsea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester United W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Manchester United W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Chelsea W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Manchester United W VS Chelsea W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchester United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Manchester United W
1 : 0
Liverpool W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5
Manchester United W
27 Sept
Manchester United W
2 : 1
West Ham W
23 Sept
Manchester United W
10 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1
Manchester United W
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Chelsea W

(Away)
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 16:6 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
3 London City Lionesses W 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
4 Tottenham W 5 3 1 1 16:8 10
5 Everton W 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
6 Liverpool W 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
7 Manchester United W 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
8 Crystal Palace W 5 1 3 1 5:11 6
9 Brighton W 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
10 Arsenal W 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
11 West Ham W 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
12 Aston Villa W 5 0 3 2 4:11 3
13 Birmingham W 5 0 2 3 7:12 2
14 Charlton W 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)