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Manchester United W vs Liverpool W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL Leigh Sports Village, Leigh
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Zigiotti Olme J.
42'
Ramos N.
52'
Medina A.

AI Match Summary

Manchester United W in this WSL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchester United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Manchester United W
15%
Draws
35%
Liverpool W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Liverpool W have won more games recently than Manchester United W.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Manchester United W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 10%
Liverpool W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchester United W Liverpool W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.84 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 WSL
Manchester United W vs Liverpool W
1:0
Aug 23, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Manchester United W vs Liverpool W
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 WSL
Manchester United W vs Liverpool W
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 WSL
Liverpool W vs Manchester United W
0:2
Aug 20, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Manchester United W vs Liverpool W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchester United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zigiotti Olme J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Liverpool W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchester United W 83 / 100
Liverpool W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchester United W Liverpool W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester United W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Manchester United W's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Liverpool W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Manchester United W VS Liverpool W
2.5 Goals Scored 3.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchester United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Manchester United W
1 : 0
Liverpool W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5
Manchester United W
27 Sept
Manchester United W
2 : 1
West Ham W
23 Sept
Manchester United W
10 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1
Manchester United W
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Liverpool W

(Away)
03 Oct
Manchester United W
1 : 0
Liverpool W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Everton W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
18 Sept
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Liverpool W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 16:6 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
3 London City Lionesses W 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
4 Tottenham W 5 3 1 1 16:8 10
5 Everton W 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
6 Liverpool W 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
7 Manchester United W 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
8 Crystal Palace W 5 1 3 1 5:11 6
9 Brighton W 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
10 Arsenal W 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
11 West Ham W 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
12 Aston Villa W 5 0 3 2 4:11 3
13 Birmingham W 5 0 2 3 7:12 2
14 Charlton W 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)