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Manchester United W vs Manchester City W

England England

WSL Old Trafford
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manchester United W play Manchester City W in the WSL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Manchester United W averaged 1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Manchester City W averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Manchester United W won 1, Manchester City W won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Manchester United W and 2.00 for Manchester City W. This points to a Manchester City W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Manchester United W
6%
Draws
90%
Manchester City W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Manchester City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Manchester City W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Manchester United W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Manchester City W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in WSL provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester City W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchester United W Manchester City W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 26
Draws 5 1
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 WSL
Manchester United W vs Manchester City W
0:3
Nov 15, 2025 WSL
Manchester City W vs Manchester United W
3:0
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Manchester City W vs Manchester United W
0:0
May 4, 2025 WSL
Manchester United W vs Manchester City W
2:2
Apr 13, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Manchester City W vs Manchester United W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchester United W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Manchester City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miedema V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Casparij K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchester United W 10 / 100
Manchester City W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchester United W Manchester City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MCI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester United W scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Manchester City W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Manchester United W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Manchester City W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manchester United W VS Manchester City W
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W22181362:1955
2Arsenal W22156153:1451
3Chelsea W22154344:2049
4Manchester United W22117438:2240
5Tottenham W22113835:3836
6London City Lionesses W22831128:3527
7Brighton W22751027:2826
8Everton W22721325:3723
9Aston Villa W22551228:4820
10West Ham W22541320:4519
11Liverpool W22451321:3417
12Leicester W22231711:529