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Manfredonia vs Costa Amalfi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Iurilli N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Manfredonia and Costa Amalfi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manfredonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Manfredonia
30%
Draws
23%
Costa Amalfi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manfredonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manfredonia come out ahead of Costa Amalfi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Manfredonia a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 16%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manfredonia Costa Amalfi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Costa Amalfi
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs Manfredonia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manfredonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Iurilli N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Costa Amalfi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manfredonia 84 / 100
Costa Amalfi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manfredonia Costa Amalfi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manfredonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Amalfi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Manfredonia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Manfredonia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manfredonia VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manfredonia

(Home)
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1
Manfredonia
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
Page 1 of 7

Costa Amalfi

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Costa Amalfi
1 : 4
Acerrana
17 Apr
Costa Amalfi
0 : 2
Gravina
12 Apr
Ischia
1 : 1
Costa Amalfi
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)