Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manfredonia vs Ebolitana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Santarpia A.
48' Event
Sainz-Maza M.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Balba D.

AI Match Summary

Manfredonia in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manfredonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Manfredonia
35%
Draws
30%
Ebolitana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manfredonia lately — more wins on the board than Ebolitana.
  • Manfredonia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 20%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manfredonia Ebolitana
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Ebolitana
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manfredonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Santarpia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balba D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Ebolitana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manfredonia 40 / 100
Ebolitana 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manfredonia Ebolitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manfredonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manfredonia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ebolitana conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Manfredonia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manfredonia VS Ebolitana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.8
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manfredonia

(Home)
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1
Manfredonia
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
Page 1 of 6

Ebolitana

(Away)
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
20 May
US Palmese
3 : 0
Ebolitana
06 May
Ebolitana
2 : 2
Vesuvio Ercolanese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Gravina 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Nocerina 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
4 Martina Calcio 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
5 Real Forio 2014 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bisceglie 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
7 Turris 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
8 Real Normanna 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
9 Ebolitana 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
10 Palmese 1914 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
11 Francavilla 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
12 San Felice Gladiator 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
13 Brindisi 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Manfredonia 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
15 A.C.D. Nardo 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
16 Ischia 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
17 Fidelis Andria 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
18 Melfi 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)