Sport Picks
Manfredonia vs Nocerina Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group H 
Match Events
5'
5'
Gigliotti G.
16'
16'
Cardella F.
30'
30'
Cardella F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H game between Manfredonia and Nocerina finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nocerina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Manfredonia haven't matched Nocerina's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 19%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manfredonia | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Nocerina
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Manfredonia
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Nocerina
0:3
May 7, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Nocerina
3:1
Dec 18, 2016 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Manfredonia
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manfredonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gigliotti G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Nocerina Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardella F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manfredonia 36 / 100
Nocerina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manfredonia Nocerina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nocerina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Manfredonia scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Nocerina has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Manfredonia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Manfredonia VS Nocerina
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Manfredonia
(Home) 27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2 Manfredonia
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0 Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1 Manfredonia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0 Ebolitana
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
29 Mar
Manfredonia
1 : 2 Gravina
Page 1 of 3
Nocerina
(Away) 27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1 Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2 Ischia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1 Ebolitana
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1 Nocerina
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0 Nocerina
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0 Nocerina
29 Mar
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0 Nocerina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Bisceglie | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Turris | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Nocerina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Normanna | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Martina Calcio | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Gravina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Real Forio 2014 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 11 | San Felice Gladiator | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 12 | Brindisi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 13 | A.C.D. Nardo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Melfi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Palmese 1914 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Francavilla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Ischia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Fidelis Andria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
