Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Morodok Techo National Stadium, Phnom Penh

Manila Digger

3 - 1

Ezra

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Gai P. O.

Assist: Ceesay S.

21'

Tafem D.

Assist: Manneh M.

29'

Phanthavong P.

Assist: Narita K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manila Digger in this AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manila Digger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Manila Digger

15%

Draws

32%

Ezra

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manila Digger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Ezra have won more games recently than Manila Digger.
Model gives Manila Digger a 53% chance of winning this.
Regular AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Manila Digger Clean Sheet 20%

Ezra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Manila Digger	Ezra
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	20	23
Draws	7	2
Losses	3	9
Goals Scored	3.63	2.76
Goals Conceded	0.7	1.35
Expected Goals (xG)	2.81	1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 AFC Challenge League

Manila Digger vs Ezra

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manila Digger Compare

Top Goalscorer Gai P. O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tafem D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.41

Ezra Compare

Top Goalscorer Phanthavong P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manila Digger 85 / 100

Ezra 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Manila Digger Ezra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manila Digger Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manila Digger scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Ezra conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Solid form: Manila Digger remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manila Digger VS Ezra

3.63 Goals Scored 1.33

0.75 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 67%

50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Manila Digger

(Home)

20 Sept

Stallion

0 : 3

Manila Digger

12 Sept

Kasuka

1 : 4

Manila Digger

04 Sept

Manila Digger

5 : 1

Kasuka

31 Aug

Persib Bandung

1 : 0

Manila Digger

30 May

Manila Digger

1 : 1

Taguig

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Ezra

(Away)

14 Sept

Shan United

2 : 0

Ezra

11 Sept

Ezra

3 : 2

Shan United

08 Sept

Yangon United

2 : 1

Ezra

14 Mar

Ezra

1 : 6

Young Elephant

08 Mar

Luang Prabang United FC

1 : 4

Ezra

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