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Manila Digger vs Shan United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Manila Digger Logo

Manila Digger

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Shan United Logo

Shan United

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manila Digger host Shan United in the AFC Challenge League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Shan United have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Manila Digger have conceded 0.71 and scored 3.29. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.00, favoring Manila Digger. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Manila Digger
15%
Draws
34%
Shan United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manila Digger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Manila Digger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular AFC Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Manila Digger Clean Sheet 20%
Shan United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manila Digger Shan United
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 24 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 3.29 2.56
Goals Conceded 0.71 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manila Digger 31 / 100
Shan United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manila Digger Shan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manila Digger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manila Digger found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (35 games).

Recent resilience: Manila Digger stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Shan United conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

Shan United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manila Digger VS Shan United
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Manila Digger

(Home)
11 Oct
Kaya FC
0 : 1
Manila Digger
04 Oct
Manila Digger
2 : 0
Cebu FC
27 Sept
Manila Digger
2 : 0
Azkals
20 Sept
Stallion
0 : 3
Manila Digger
12 Sept
Kasuka
1 : 4
Manila Digger
Page 1 of 7

Shan United

(Away)
11 Oct
Hantharwady United
0 : 2
Shan United
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Ansar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ahal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Paro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Nejmeh SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Homs Al Fidaa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadisiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Regar-TadAZ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fortis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Borneo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Taiwan Steel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Taguig 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Kasuka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Hang Yuen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Manila Digger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)