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Manlleu AEC vs CD Morell

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016
Manlleu AEC Logo

Manlleu AEC

0 - 1
FT
CD Morell Logo

CD Morell

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Morell in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Morell.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Manlleu AEC
15%
Draws
8%
CD Morell
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manlleu AEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Manlleu AEC have won more games recently than CD Morell.
  • Win probability leans Manlleu AEC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Manlleu AEC Clean Sheet 19%
CD Morell Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manlleu AEC CD Morell
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 13 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.33 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs CD Morell
0:1
Oct 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CD Morell vs Manlleu AEC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manlleu AEC 85 / 100
CD Morell 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manlleu AEC CD Morell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manlleu AEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Morell's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Manlleu AEC's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Manlleu AEC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: CD Morell has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manlleu AEC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manlleu AEC

(Home)
14 May
Manlleu AEC
4 : 3
Olot
07 May
FC Vilafranca
2 : 0
Manlleu AEC
30 Apr
Manlleu AEC
3 : 1
Peralada
23 Apr
La Jonquera
2 : 1
Manlleu AEC
13 Apr
Manlleu AEC
2 : 1
Sabadell B
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CD Morell

(Away)
14 May
CD Morell
1 : 1
FC Asco
08 May
Terrassa
4 : 0
CD Morell
30 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 0
CD Morell
23 Apr
CD Morell
1 : 2
Granollers
17 Apr
Montanesa
3 : 1
CD Morell
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 21 15 2 62:26 78
2 Gava 38 18 15 5 69:38 69
3 CE Europa 38 18 14 6 60:33 68
4 Montanesa 38 19 8 11 52:35 65
5 FC Vilafranca 38 19 7 12 68:55 64
6 Sabadell B 38 17 11 10 57:41 62
7 Sant Andreu 38 16 8 14 54:46 56
8 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 15 9 14 52:50 54
9 UE Figueres 38 15 8 15 48:40 53
10 Jupiter 38 15 5 18 60:68 50
11 FC Asco 38 13 11 14 35:43 50
12 Manlleu AEC 38 15 4 19 44:58 49
13 Peralada 38 11 14 13 50:54 47
14 Terrassa 38 14 5 19 43:61 47
15 Palamos CF 38 10 16 12 54:54 46
16 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 47:55 45
17 Granollers 38 12 8 18 52:63 44
18 UE Rubi 38 10 10 18 38:57 40
19 CD Morell 38 8 6 24 29:70 30
20 CD Masnou 38 6 8 24 40:67 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)