Sport Picks

Germany

3. Liga Carl-Benz Stadion

1. FC Schweinfurt

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This 3. Liga encounter between Mannheim and 1. FC Schweinfurt promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Mannheim averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. 1. FC Schweinfurt shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Mannheim, 1 wins for 1. FC Schweinfurt, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.04.26 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.31 for Mannheim and 1.63 for 1. FC Schweinfurt, suggesting the primary value lies in the Mannheim double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Mannheim

22%

Draws

27%

1. FC Schweinfurt

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mannheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Mannheim picked up more points recently compared to 1. FC Schweinfurt.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%

Mannheim Clean Sheet 14%

1. FC Schweinfurt Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mannheim	1. FC Schweinfurt
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	11	6
Draws	6	8
Losses	12	17
Goals Scored	1.83	1.45
Goals Conceded	1.9	2.19
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

25.04.26 3. Liga

Mannheim vs 1. FC Schweinfurt

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

29.11.25 3. Liga

1. FC Schweinfurt vs Mannheim

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

05.05.02 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Schweinfurt vs Mannheim

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

16.12.01 2. Bundesliga

Mannheim vs 1. FC Schweinfurt

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

09.03.91 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Schweinfurt vs Mannheim

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Mannheim

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

1. FC Schweinfurt

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mannheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lohkemper F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

1. FC Schweinfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Langhans L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Angleberger D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mannheim 49 / 100

1. FC Schweinfurt 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mannheim 1. FC Schweinfurt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mannheim or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Mannheim is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Mannheim 56%

1. FC Schweinfurt 22%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

1. FC Schweinfurt will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Mannheim's attacks.

Mannheim 48%

1. FC Schweinfurt 28%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Mannheim to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Mannheim 51%

1. FC Schweinfurt 27%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Mannheim vary their attacking width.

Mannheim 54%

1. FC Schweinfurt 26%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for 1. FC Schweinfurt, allowing Mannheim's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Mannheim 46%

1. FC Schweinfurt 30%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Mannheim, while 1. FC Schweinfurt takes risks to salvage a result.

Mannheim 59%

1. FC Schweinfurt 31%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mannheim attacking → ← attacking 1. FC Schweinfurt

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mannheim have found the net in 79% of their last 29 matches.

1. FC Schweinfurt have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.

Mannheim remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

1. FC Schweinfurt suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 26

2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VfL Osnabruck	38	24	8	6	66:34	80
2	Energie Cottbus	38	21	9	8	72:51	72
3	RW Essen	38	20	10	8	78:66	70
4	Duisburg	38	19	11	8	66:49	68
5	Hansa Rostock	38	18	13	7	74:49	67
6	Verl	38	18	10	10	82:48	64
7	Alemannia Aachen	38	19	7	12	76:57	64
8	Munich 1860	38	15	11	12	54:53	56
9	Wehen	38	15	8	15	54:52	53
10	Mannheim	38	15	7	16	59:72	52
11	FC Viktoria Koln	38	15	6	17	51:53	51
12	Ingolstadt	38	13	10	15	65:56	49
13	Regensburg	38	14	7	17	54:58	49
14	VfB Stuttgart II	38	13	7	18	57:69	46
15	Saarbrucken	38	10	14	14	51:57	44
16	Hoffenheim II	38	12	7	19	65:71	43
17	TSV Havelse	38	9	8	21	57:89	35
18	Aue	38	7	13	18	51:70	34
19	Ulm	38	9	6	23	49:78	33
20	1. FC Schweinfurt	38	5	6	27	38:87	21