Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mannheim vs Duisburg

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Carl-Benz Stadion, Mannheim
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kother D.
Assist: Bitter J.
26'
Ogbemudia O.
26'
Kother D.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Mannheim and Duisburg finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duisburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mannheim
20%
Draws
38%
Duisburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mannheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Duisburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Mannheim Clean Sheet 12%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mannheim Duisburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 3. Liga
Mannheim vs Duisburg
1:4
Nov 7, 2025 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Mannheim
2:1
Apr 12, 2024 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Mannheim
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 3. Liga
Mannheim vs Duisburg
0:0
May 27, 2023 3. Liga
Mannheim vs Duisburg
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mannheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Lohkemper F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kother D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lobinger L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mannheim 29 / 100
Duisburg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mannheim Duisburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mannheim scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Duisburg let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mannheim has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mannheim VS Duisburg
3.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mannheim

(Home)
07 Aug
Mannheim
2 : 1
Dusseldorf
01 Aug
Mannheim
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
25 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1
Triglav
23 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1
FC Liefering
18 Jul
Nurnberg
3 : 2
Mannheim
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Duisburg

(Away)
08 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0
Meppen
01 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 0
Duisburg
25 Jul
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 1
Duisburg
22 Jul
Duisburg
2 : 4
Beerschot VA
18 Jul
Bonner
1 : 4
Duisburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)