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Manningham United Blues vs Eltham Redbacks

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Harding R.
80' Event
Stokes E.
89' Event
Infelice M.

AI Match Summary

Manningham United Blues in this Victoria Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manningham United Blues.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Manningham United Blues
15%
Draws
85%
Eltham Redbacks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eltham Redbacks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eltham Redbacks lately — more wins on the board than Manningham United Blues.
  • Eltham Redbacks are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Manningham United Blues Clean Sheet 10%
Eltham Redbacks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manningham United Blues Eltham Redbacks
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.4 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Eltham Redbacks vs Manningham United Blues
5:0
May 2, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Manningham United Blues vs Eltham Redbacks
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manningham United Blues Compare

Top Goalscorer Harding R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stokes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Eltham Redbacks Compare

Top Goalscorer Infelice M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manningham United Blues 10 / 100
Eltham Redbacks 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manningham United Blues Eltham Redbacks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eltham Redbacks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eltham Redbacks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Manningham United Blues found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Eltham Redbacks's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Manningham United Blues VS Eltham Redbacks
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Manningham United Blues

(Home)
30 Aug
Brunswick Juventus
3 : 0
Manningham United Blues
23 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 3
Melbourne Victory U21
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0
Manningham United Blues
01 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 1
Port Melbourne Sharks
25 Jul
Manningham United Blues
1 : 5
Melbourne Knights
Page 1 of 6

Eltham Redbacks

(Away)
11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
2 : 2
Melbourne Knights
22 Aug
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 2
Eltham Redbacks
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0
Manningham United Blues
31 Jul
Northcote City
1 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melbourne Knights 24 15 4 5 43:19 49
2 Brunswick Juventus 24 15 2 7 42:26 47
3 Melbourne Victory U21 24 13 4 7 55:32 43
4 Northcote City 24 13 4 7 38:27 43
5 Bulleen 24 12 6 6 44:30 42
6 Eltham Redbacks 24 10 6 8 53:37 36
7 Melbourne Srbija 24 11 3 10 27:25 36
8 Manningham United Blues 24 9 3 12 32:48 30
9 North Geelong Warriors 24 9 2 13 32:49 29
10 Brunswick City 24 8 3 13 40:49 27
11 Langwarrin 24 6 6 12 40:52 24
12 North Sunshine Eagles 24 5 5 14 29:38 20
13 Port Melbourne Sharks 24 4 4 16 12:55 16
14 Western United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)