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Manningham United Blues vs Northcote City

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Hallam K.
87' Event
Appleton Z.

AI Match Summary

Manningham United Blues host Northcote City in the Victoria Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Manningham United Blues have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Northcote City's 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Manningham United Blues slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.00, favoring Northcote City. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Manningham United Blues
28%
Draws
50%
Northcote City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Northcote City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Northcote City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Manningham United Blues.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Northcote City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Victoria Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Manningham United Blues Clean Sheet 10%
Northcote City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manningham United Blues Northcote City
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Manningham United Blues vs Northcote City
0:2
Aug 18, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Northcote City vs Manningham United Blues
1:2
May 3, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Manningham United Blues vs Northcote City
2:2
Aug 19, 2023 Victoria Premier League
Manningham United Blues vs Northcote City
3:1
May 12, 2023 Victoria Premier League
Northcote City vs Manningham United Blues
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manningham United Blues Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Northcote City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hallam K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Appleton Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manningham United Blues 22 / 100
Northcote City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manningham United Blues Northcote City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manningham United Blues scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Northcote City let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Manningham United Blues went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Northcote City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manningham United Blues VS Northcote City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Melbourne Knights20132535:1641
2Northcote City20123534:2039
3Brunswick Juventus19120735:2636
4Melbourne Victory U212094748:3531
5Bulleen1985632:2629
6Melbourne Srbija1892724:2129
7Eltham Redbacks1984745:3428
8North Geelong Warriors1891832:3428
9Manningham United Blues1982933:3826
10Western United U2119811038:4525
11Brunswick City19721035:4123
12Langwarrin2065936:4523
13North Sunshine Eagles19431223:3615
14Port Melbourne Sharks19241310:4310