Sport Picks

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Mansfield U23 vs Leeds U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Johnson P.
70' Event
Littlewood J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mansfield U23
30%
Draws
47%
Leeds U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leeds U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leeds U23 come out ahead of Mansfield U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mansfield U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Leeds U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Mansfield U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mansfield U23 Leeds U23
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 1 7
Draws 2 8
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2022 Premier League Cup
Mansfield U23 vs Leeds U23
1:1
Nov 15, 2021 Premier League Cup
Leeds U23 vs Mansfield U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mansfield U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Leeds U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Littlewood J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansfield U23 40 / 100
Leeds U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mansfield U23 Leeds U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansfield U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mansfield U23's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Leeds U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Leeds U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mansfield U23 VS Leeds U23
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansfield U23

(Home)
07 Mar
Mansfield U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
23 Feb
Mansfield U23
1 : 2
Wigan U23
13 Dec
Sunderland U23
1 : 1
Mansfield U23
15 Nov
Leeds U23
2 : 1
Mansfield U23
28 Oct
Wigan U23
3 : 0
Mansfield U23
Page 1 of 2

Leeds U23

(Away)
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)