Sport Picks

Mansfield vs Chesterfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy One Call Stadium, Mansfield

Chesterfield

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chesterfield have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Mansfield have conceded 1.65 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor Mansfield slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2025, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.81) back Chesterfield to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%

Mansfield

20%

Draws

69%

Chesterfield

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chesterfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Chesterfield come out ahead of Mansfield on wins alone.
Win probability leans Chesterfield's way, sitting at 70%.
Chesterfield arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Chesterfield, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Mansfield Clean Sheet 11%

Chesterfield Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mansfield	Chesterfield
Matches Played	26	29
Wins	9	14
Draws	8	7
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.65	1.52
Goals Conceded	1.65	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup

Chesterfield vs Mansfield

0:2

Apr 14, 2018 League Two

Chesterfield vs Mansfield

0:1

Nov 25, 2017 League Two

Mansfield vs Chesterfield

2:2

Mar 22, 2014 League Two

Mansfield vs Chesterfield

0:0

Oct 8, 2013 EFL Trophy

Mansfield vs Chesterfield

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansfield 14 / 100

Chesterfield 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mansfield Chesterfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chesterfield Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mansfield's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Chesterfield has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mansfield stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mansfield VS Chesterfield

0.88 Goals Scored 2.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansfield

(Home)

06 Oct

Port Vale

2 : 0

Mansfield

19 Sept

Burton

2 : 2

Mansfield

12 Sept

Mansfield

0 : 0

Huddersfield

05 Sept

Bradford City

1 : 0

Mansfield

02 Sept

Reading

5 : 0

Mansfield

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Chesterfield

(Away)

03 Oct

Chesterfield

4 : 2

Tranmere

26 Sept

Cheltenham

2 : 1

Chesterfield

22 Sept

Chesterfield

2 : 1

Port Vale

19 Sept

Chesterfield

2 : 0

York City

15 Sept

Chesterfield

5 : 3

Manchester City U21

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