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Stadium Background

Mansfield vs Doncaster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One One Call Stadium, Mansfield
Mansfield Logo

Mansfield

2 - 1
FT
Doncaster Logo

Doncaster

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Oates R.
Assist: Akins L.
46'
Sub
Hutchinson I. In: Hanlan B.
Out: Hutchinson I.
49' Event
Senior J.
Assist: Gotts R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mansfield in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mansfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mansfield
20%
Draws
34%
Doncaster
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mansfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Doncaster have won more games recently than Mansfield.
  • Model gives Mansfield a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 68%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mansfield Doncaster
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League One
Mansfield vs Doncaster
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Mansfield
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 League One
Mansfield vs Doncaster
1:2
Dec 29, 2023 League Two
Mansfield vs Doncaster
1:1
Oct 10, 2023 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Doncaster
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mansfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Oates R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reed L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Doncaster Compare

Top Goalscorer Senior J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansfield 95 / 100
Doncaster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mansfield Doncaster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mansfield found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Doncaster conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mansfield stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mansfield VS Doncaster
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansfield

(Home)
03 Nov
Wigan
0 : 0
Mansfield
31 Oct
Mansfield
0 : 2
Notts County
24 Oct
Blackpool
1 : 4
Mansfield
20 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 3
Mansfield
15 Oct
Mansfield
1 : 1
Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6

Doncaster

(Away)
03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4
Doncaster
31 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
6 : 1
Doncaster
27 Oct
Luton
3 : 1
Doncaster
24 Oct
Doncaster
2 : 0
Sheffield Wed
20 Oct
Doncaster
0 : 2
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 14 8 5 1 28:12 29
2 Stockport County 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
3 Oxford Utd 13 7 5 1 22:11 26
4 Luton 14 7 3 4 27:21 24
5 Plymouth 14 7 2 5 21:19 23
6 Reading 14 6 4 4 25:15 22
7 Bradford City 13 6 4 3 10:8 22
8 Cambridge Utd 14 5 6 3 21:21 21
9 Sheffield Wed 13 5 5 3 22:14 20
10 Leicester 13 5 4 4 22:19 19
11 Mansfield 13 5 4 4 20:18 19
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13 4 6 3 22:20 18
13 Wycombe 13 4 6 3 21:23 18
14 Leyton Orient 13 5 2 6 19:14 17
15 Burton 14 4 5 5 18:21 17
16 Stevenage 12 4 4 4 17:13 16
17 Notts County 12 3 5 4 13:14 14
18 AFC Wimbledon 13 3 4 6 9:21 13
19 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 17:21 12
20 Doncaster 13 3 3 7 14:22 12
21 Wigan 14 3 2 9 11:22 11
22 Peterborough 13 2 4 7 11:23 10
23 Barnsley 12 2 3 7 12:22 9
24 Bromley 13 2 3 8 13:33 9
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)