Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mansfield vs Doncaster

England England

League One One Call Stadium, Mansfield
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Oates R.
Assist: Akins L.
46'
Sub
Hutchinson I. In: Hanlan B.
Out: Hutchinson I.
49' Event
Senior J.
Assist: Gotts R.

AI Match Summary

Mansfield in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mansfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mansfield
15%
Draws
49%
Doncaster
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Doncaster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Doncaster have won more games recently than Mansfield.
  • Model gives Mansfield a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 68%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mansfield Doncaster
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.54 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League One
Mansfield vs Doncaster
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Mansfield
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 League One
Mansfield vs Doncaster
1:2
Dec 29, 2023 League Two
Mansfield vs Doncaster
1:1
Oct 10, 2023 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Doncaster
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mansfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Oates R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reed L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Doncaster Compare

Top Goalscorer Senior J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansfield 59 / 100
Doncaster 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mansfield Doncaster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mansfield found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Doncaster conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Doncaster's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mansfield VS Doncaster
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansfield

(Home)
22 Aug
Peterborough
2 : 1
Mansfield
19 Aug
Mansfield
1 : 4
Manchester City U21
15 Aug
Mansfield
2 : 1
Doncaster
09 Aug
Mansfield
0 : 3
Sheffield Utd
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3
Derby
Page 1 of 6

Doncaster

(Away)
25 Aug
Doncaster
1 : 3
Middlesbrough
22 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 0
Barnsley
15 Aug
Mansfield
2 : 1
Doncaster
08 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2
Doncaster
01 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 1
Lincoln City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Huddersfield 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Luton 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
4 Cambridge Utd 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 Oxford Utd 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Blackpool 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Burton 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
8 Bromley 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
9 Stockport County 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
10 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
11 Mansfield 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
12 Sheffield Wed 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Peterborough 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
14 Milton Keynes Dons 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
15 Notts County 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
16 Wycombe 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
17 Reading 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
18 Leicester 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
19 Stevenage 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
20 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
21 Barnsley 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
22 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
23 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
24 Wigan 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)