Sport Picks
Mansfield vs Notts County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One One Call Stadium, Mansfield 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sub
Grant C. In: Roberts C.
Out: Grant C.
29'
29'
Roberts C.
Assist: Finneran R.
55'
55'
Finneran R.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between Mansfield and Notts County finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notts County.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Notts County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Notts County have managed 1.32 goals a game lately — Mansfield are scoring more at 1.63.
- 31% — that's where the model lands on Mansfield taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 17%
Notts County Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mansfield | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 League One
Mansfield vs Notts County
0:2
Feb 3, 2024 League Two
Mansfield vs Notts County
1:0
Oct 14, 2023 League Two
Notts County vs Mansfield
1:4
Feb 16, 2019 League Two
Notts County vs Mansfield
1:0
Dec 8, 2018 League Two
Mansfield vs Notts County
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mansfield Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Notts County Compare
Top Goalscorer Roberts C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kanu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mansfield 39 / 100
Notts County 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mansfield Notts County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mansfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mansfield scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Notts County conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Mansfield remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mansfield VS Notts County
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mansfield
(Home) 03 Nov
Wigan
0 : 0 Mansfield
31 Oct
Mansfield
0 : 2 Notts County
24 Oct
Blackpool
1 : 4 Mansfield
20 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 3 Mansfield
15 Oct
Mansfield
1 : 1 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Mansfield
0 : 2 Notts County
15 Oct
Mansfield
1 : 1 Oxford Utd
10 Oct
Mansfield
2 : 1 Bromley
12 Sept
Mansfield
0 : 0 Huddersfield
30 Aug
Mansfield
5 : 2 Luton
Page 1 of 3
Notts County
(Away) 31 Oct
Mansfield
0 : 2 Notts County
24 Oct
Notts County
1 : 1 Stockport County
20 Oct
Notts County
2 : 0 Sheffield Wed
17 Oct
Wycombe
2 : 0 Notts County
13 Oct
Notts County
5 : 1 Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Mansfield
0 : 2 Notts County
17 Oct
Wycombe
2 : 0 Notts County
19 Sept
Reading
2 : 0 Notts County
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1 Notts County
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford City | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wed | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
