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Mansilles vs Briviesca

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Blanco J.
75' Event
Rodriguez J.

AI Match Summary

Mansilles in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mansilles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mansilles
30%
Draws
23%
Briviesca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mansilles lately — more wins on the board than Briviesca.
  • Win probability leans Mansilles's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 68%
Briviesca Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mansilles Briviesca
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Briviesca
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Mansilles
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mansilles Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Briviesca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansilles 95 / 100
Briviesca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mansilles Briviesca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansilles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Briviesca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Mansilles found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mansilles stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mansilles VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansilles

(Home)
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
Page 1 of 7

Briviesca

(Away)
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Almazan
4 : 0
Briviesca
01 May
Briviesca
0 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
27 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 1
Briviesca
23 Apr
Villaralbo
0 : 0
Briviesca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)