Sport Picks
Mansilles vs Palencia CA Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 
Match Events
38'
38'
Aparicio J.
(Penalty)
57'
57'
Fernandez D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mansilles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Palencia CA lately — more wins on the board than Mansilles.
- Win probability leans Mansilles's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 20%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mansilles | Palencia CA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Palencia CA
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Palencia CA
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Mansilles
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Palencia CA
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Mansilles
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mansilles Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Palencia CA Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mansilles 40 / 100
Palencia CA 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mansilles Palencia CA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mansilles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Mansilles remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Mansilles found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Palencia CA let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mansilles VS Palencia CA
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mansilles
(Home) 27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0 Mirandes B
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2 Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2 Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1 Mansilles
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0 Mirandes B
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1 CD Mojados
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0 Almazan
18 Apr
Mansilles
2 : 1 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 3
Palencia CA
(Away) 04 Oct
Palencia CA
3 : 0 Unionistas de Salamanca B
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1 Palencia CA
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1 Palencia CA
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1 Palencia CA
17 May
Palencia CF
2 : 0 Palencia CA
10 May
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 2 Palencia CA
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos CF B | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Santa Marta Tormes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Mansilles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 | Bembibre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Palencia CA | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Leonesa B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 10 |
| 7 | La Virgen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 8 | Arandina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Almazan | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Salamanca CF UDS B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 14 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Turegano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 16 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 17 | Mirandes B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 18 | Colegios Diocesanos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)
