Sport Picks
Mansilles vs Santa Marta Tormes Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
7'
7'
del Valle P.
71'
71'
Muelas M. B.
AI Match Summary
Mansilles in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mansilles.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mansilles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Santa Marta Tormes average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Mansilles's 1.04.
- Win probability leans Mansilles's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mansilles | Santa Marta Tormes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Mansilles
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Mansilles
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mansilles Compare
Top Goalscorer del Valle P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Muelas M. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Santa Marta Tormes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mansilles 50 / 100
Santa Marta Tormes 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mansilles Santa Marta Tormes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mansilles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mansilles went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Mansilles scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Santa Marta Tormes let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Mansilles VS Santa Marta Tormes
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mansilles
(Home) 27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0 Mirandes B
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2 Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2 Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1 Mansilles
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0 Mirandes B
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1 CD Mojados
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0 Almazan
18 Apr
Mansilles
2 : 1 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 3
Santa Marta Tormes
(Away) 04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0 Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2 Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
19 Aug
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
08 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
24 May
Guijuelo
2 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
