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Manta vs Aucas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Manta Logo

Manta

0 - 0
FT
Aucas Logo

Aucas

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Verges J.
45'
Jimenez J.
62'
Sub
Zambrano C. In: Vera M.
Out: Zambrano C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Manta
35%
Draws
30%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aucas lately — more wins on the board than Manta.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Manta Clean Sheet 16%
Aucas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta Aucas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.62 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Aucas
0:0
May 26, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Manta
3:1
Sep 16, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Aucas
1:1
May 17, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Manta
1:1
Aug 22, 2021 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Manta
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 31 / 100
Aucas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aucas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Manta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Manta found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Aucas conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS Aucas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manta

(Home)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6

Aucas

(Away)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0
Libertad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)