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Manta vs Dep. Cuenca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Manta Logo

Manta

Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Dep. Cuenca Logo

Dep. Cuenca

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manta host Dep. Cuenca in the Liga Pro. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Dep. Cuenca have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Manta have conceded 1.33 and scored 0.63. Past meetings favor Dep. Cuenca slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 11, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring Dep. Cuenca. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Manta
30%
Draws
29%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cuenca come out ahead of Manta on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Manta's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dep. Cuenca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Manta Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Manta
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Dep. Cuenca
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Dep. Cuenca
0:1
May 3, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Manta
2:0
Jul 22, 2024 Copa Ecuador
Manta vs Dep. Cuenca
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 42 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cuenca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Manta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Manta's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS Dep. Cuenca
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manta

(Home)
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
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Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Mushuc Runa 32 9 12 11 38:42 39
12 Dep. Cuenca 31 10 7 14 26:38 37
13 Orense 31 9 6 16 37:49 33
14 Tecnico U. 32 10 3 19 29:44 33
15 Delfin 32 8 8 16 23:34 32
16 Manta 32 7 6 19 20:43 27
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)