Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manta vs Emelec

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manta play Emelec in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Manta averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Emelec averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Manta won 0, Emelec won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Manta and 0.94 for Emelec. This points to a Emelec double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Manta
32%
Draws
38%
Emelec
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Emelec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Manta picked up more points recently compared to Emelec.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Manta Clean Sheet 24%
Emelec Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta Emelec
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.82 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Emelec
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Emelec
2:4
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Manta
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Emelec vs Manta
2:2
Nov 28, 2021 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Manta
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 32 / 100
Emelec 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta Emelec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Emelec or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Manta attacking → ← attacking Emelec

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manta scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Emelec let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Manta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Emelec lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 36
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independiente del Valle17131336:1840
2Barcelona SC1785420:1329
3Aucas1785420:1629
4LDU Quito1783619:1427
5Dep. Cuenca1783618:1927
6U. Catolica1775528:1726
7Tecnico U.1772819:1723
8Macara1765616:1823
9Emelec1765614:1723
10Orense1764722:2422
11Mushuc Runa1756622:2321
12Leones del Norte1755718:1920
13Guayaquil City1754814:2019
14Delfin174589:1617
15Libertad1745817:2517
16Manta1733117:2312