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Manta vs Orense

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Carvajal Burgos J. E.
40'
Mina S.
40'
Angulo J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Manta
15%
Draws
34%
Orense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Manta haven't matched Orense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Manta's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Manta Clean Sheet 17%
Orense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta Orense
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.54 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Orense
0:0
Mar 10, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Manta
1:1
Jun 24, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Orense
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Manta
2:1
Aug 28, 2021 Liga Pro
Manta vs Orense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 36 / 100
Orense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta Orense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orense let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Orense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Manta's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS Orense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manta

(Home)
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
22 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 1
Manta
15 Aug
Manta
0 : 2
Leones del Norte
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2
Manta
01 Aug
Manta
1 : 2
Mushuc Runa
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Orense

(Away)
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
09 Aug
Delfin
1 : 1
Orense
01 Aug
Libertad
3 : 0
Orense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 27 22 2 3 66:28 68
2 Aucas 27 14 5 8 31:26 47
3 Macara 27 13 6 8 35:27 45
4 U. Catolica 27 12 8 7 47:25 44
5 LDU Quito 27 12 5 10 27:22 41
6 Barcelona SC 27 10 9 8 28:22 39
7 Libertad 27 10 7 10 29:30 37
8 Mushuc Runa 27 9 9 9 33:34 36
9 Guayaquil City 27 9 9 9 27:30 36
10 Leones del Norte 27 9 8 10 29:30 35
11 Emelec 27 9 8 10 23:32 35
12 Dep. Cuenca 27 9 5 13 23:35 32
13 Orense 27 8 6 13 31:41 30
14 Tecnico U. 28 9 2 17 26:39 29
15 Delfin 28 7 6 15 18:29 27
16 Manta 27 5 5 17 14:37 20
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
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