Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manta vs Orense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Manta Logo

Manta

2 - 1
FT
Orense Logo

Orense

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Velasco P.
22'
Mina G.
27'
Sub
Silva R. In: Ortiz J.
Out: Silva R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manta in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Manta
15%
Draws
26%
Orense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orense lately — more wins on the board than Manta.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Manta taking it.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Manta Clean Sheet 68%
Orense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta Orense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.62 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Orense
2:1
Jul 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Orense
0:0
Mar 10, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Manta
1:1
Jun 24, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Orense
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Manta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manta Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Orense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 68 / 100
Orense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta Orense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Manta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Orense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS Orense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manta

(Home)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6

Orense

(Away)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Mushuc Runa 31 9 12 10 36:39 39
12 Dep. Cuenca 31 10 7 14 26:38 37
13 Orense 31 9 6 16 37:49 33
14 Tecnico U. 31 10 3 18 29:43 33
15 Delfin 31 7 8 16 20:32 29
16 Manta 31 6 6 19 19:43 24
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)