Manthiqueira U20 in this Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
Manthiqueira U20
15%
Draws
57%
Real Ariquemes U20
Draw rate projection: 15%Favored: Real Ariquemes U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
Real Ariquemes U20 average 1.35 goals a game right now, well clear of Manthiqueira U20's 1.
57% — that's where the model lands on Real Ariquemes U20 taking it.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Manthiqueira U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals99%
Over 1.5 Goals94%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)71%
Manthiqueira U20 Clean Sheet10%
Real Ariquemes U20 Clean Sheet16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Manthiqueira U20
Real Ariquemes U20
Matches Played
24
17
Wins
6
6
Draws
3
1
Losses
15
10
Goals Scored
1
1.35
Goals Conceded
3
2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 6, 2019Copinha
Manthiqueira U20vsReal Ariquemes U20
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manthiqueira U20 Compare
Top GoalscorerIgor
1 Goals
Assists LeaderDede
1 Ast
Avg xG / game0.72
Avg xA / game0.47
Real Ariquemes U20 Compare
Top GoalscorerFellipe Gabriel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game2.78
Avg xA / game1.7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manthiqueira U2010 / 100
Real Ariquemes U2084 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manthiqueira U20 Real Ariquemes U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickReal Ariquemes U20 Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Ariquemes U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 17 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Real Ariquemes U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Manthiqueira U20's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 24 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Manthiqueira U20 VS Real Ariquemes U20
0.63Goals Scored2
4.13Goals Conceded1.25
88%Over 1.5100%
88%Over 2.550%
75%Over 3.538%
Recent Form & Match History
Manthiqueira U20
(Home)
16 Jun
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 6
Taubate U20
10 Jun
CA Joseense U20
2 : 3
Manthiqueira U20
04 Jun
Sao Jose EC U20
3 : 1
Manthiqueira U20
28 May
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 8
Palmeiras U20
21 May
AC Guaratingueta U20
1 : 0
Manthiqueira U20
12 May
Taubate U20
6 : 0
Manthiqueira U20
06 May
Manthiqueira U20
3 : 1
CA Joseense U20
30 Apr
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 3
Sao Jose EC U20
22 Apr
Palmeiras U20
6 : 0
Manthiqueira U20
15 Apr
Manthiqueira U20
2 : 3
AC Guaratingueta U20
10 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 5
Vitoria U20
07 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
04 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
1 : 3
Piracicaba U20
09 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 4
ABC U20
06 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
2 : 1
Resende U20
03 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 4
Sao Bernardo FC U20
14 Jan
Vasco U20
5 : 1
Manthiqueira U20
12 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
3 : 2
Tubarao U20
09 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
1 : 1
EC Juventude U20
06 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
2 : 1
Real Ariquemes U20
03 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
3 : 2
Bragantino U20
09 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 2
Bahia U20
06 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
1 : 1
Sao Bento U20
03 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 0
Botafogo PB U20
Page 1 of 5
16 Jun
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 6
Taubate U20
28 May
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 8
Palmeiras U20
06 May
Manthiqueira U20
3 : 1
CA Joseense U20
30 Apr
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 3
Sao Jose EC U20
15 Apr
Manthiqueira U20
2 : 3
AC Guaratingueta U20
10 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 5
Vitoria U20
07 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
04 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
1 : 3
Piracicaba U20
09 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 4
ABC U20
06 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
2 : 1
Resende U20
03 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 4
Sao Bernardo FC U20
12 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
3 : 2
Tubarao U20
09 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
1 : 1
EC Juventude U20
06 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
2 : 1
Real Ariquemes U20
03 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
3 : 2
Bragantino U20
09 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 2
Bahia U20
06 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
1 : 1
Sao Bento U20
03 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
0 : 0
Botafogo PB U20
Page 1 of 4
Real Ariquemes U20
(Away)
12 Jan
Mirassol U20
1 : 0
Real Ariquemes U20
09 Jan
Real Ariquemes U20
2 : 0
Portuguesa U20
06 Jan
Tanabi U20
2 : 0
Real Ariquemes U20
03 Jan
Nautico U20
0 : 2
Real Ariquemes U20
10 Oct
Remo U20
3 : 2
Real Ariquemes U20
04 Oct
Real Ariquemes U20
1 : 1
Remo U20
28 Sept
Real Ariquemes U20
4 : 0
Santana EC U20
11 Jan
ASSU U20
1 : 5
Real Ariquemes U20
08 Jan
Real Ariquemes U20
0 : 3
Palmeiras U20
05 Jan
Agua Santa U20
2 : 1
Real Ariquemes U20
16 Mar
Real Ariquemes U20
0 : 3
Nautico U20
04 Apr
Real Ariquemes U20
0 : 10
Flamengo RJ U20
28 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 2
Real Ariquemes U20
20 Mar
Real Ariquemes U20
2 : 1
Horizonte U20
09 Jan
Real Ariquemes U20
1 : 0
Bragantino U20
06 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
2 : 1
Real Ariquemes U20
03 Jan
EC Juventude U20
1 : 0
Real Ariquemes U20
Page 1 of 4
12 Jan
Mirassol U20
1 : 0
Real Ariquemes U20
06 Jan
Tanabi U20
2 : 0
Real Ariquemes U20
03 Jan
Nautico U20
0 : 2
Real Ariquemes U20
10 Oct
Remo U20
3 : 2
Real Ariquemes U20
11 Jan
ASSU U20
1 : 5
Real Ariquemes U20
05 Jan
Agua Santa U20
2 : 1
Real Ariquemes U20
28 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 2
Real Ariquemes U20
06 Jan
Manthiqueira U20
2 : 1
Real Ariquemes U20
03 Jan
EC Juventude U20
1 : 0
Real Ariquemes U20
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Andradina U20
3
2
1
0
6:2
7
2
Ponte Preta U20
3
1
2
0
7:3
5
3
Ceara U20
3
1
1
1
4:4
4
4
Ceilandia U20
3
0
0
3
2:10
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
3
2
0
1
3:2
6
2
Rio Preto EC U20
3
1
2
0
2:1
5
3
Chapecoense-SC U20
3
1
1
1
3:2
4
4
Penapolense U20
3
0
1
2
1:4
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3
2
1
0
6:1
7
2
Marilia AC U20
3
2
0
1
4:2
6
3
Linense U20
3
1
1
1
7:4
4
4
Babacu U20
3
0
0
3
1:11
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vocem U20
3
2
1
0
4:0
7
2
Sport Recife U20
3
2
1
0
3:0
7
3
Vitoria da Conquista U20
3
0
1
2
1:4
1
4
Porto Calvense U20
3
0
1
2
1:5
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Mirassol U20
3
2
1
0
5:1
7
2
Legiao U20
3
1
1
1
2:1
4
3
Atletico GO U20
3
1
1
1
2:4
4
4
Osvaldo Cruz U20
3
0
1
2
2:5
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Athletico-PR U20
3
3
0
0
11:2
9
2
Comercial U20
3
1
1
1
2:4
4
3
CSP U20
3
0
2
1
3:6
2
4
Tupa U20
3
0
1
2
4:8
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Ferroviaria U20
3
2
1
0
11:2
7
2
Sao Paulo U20
3
2
1
0
12:4
7
3
Serra U20
3
1
0
2
3:6
3
4
Holanda U20
3
0
0
3
2:16
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Rio Claro U20
3
2
1
0
6:2
7
2
Velo Clube U20
3
2
1
0
6:3
7
3
Nautico U20
3
1
0
2
6:5
3
4
Marilia FC U20
3
0
0
3
3:11
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 9)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Cuiaba U20
3
1
2
0
2:1
5
2
Botafogo RJ U20
3
1
1
1
3:3
4
3
Francana U20
3
1
1
1
2:2
4
4
Horizonte U20
3
0
2
1
2:3
2
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 10)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Atlantico EC U20
3
2
0
1
6:3
6
2
America MG U20
3
2
0
1
6:5
6
3
Sao Carlos U20
3
2
0
1
5:5
6
4
Criciuma U20
3
0
0
3
4:8
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 11)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Internacional U20
3
3
0
0
10:1
9
2
Votuporanguense U20
3
1
1
1
3:5
4
3
Batatais U20
3
1
0
2
3:3
3
4
Trem U20
3
0
1
2
1:8
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 12)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Guarani U20
3
1
2
0
8:2
5
2
CA Taquaritinga U20
3
1
2
0
7:5
5
3
Bahia U20
3
1
2
0
6:4
5
4
Boavista U20
3
0
0
3
3:13
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 13)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Palmeiras U20
3
2
0
1
3:1
6
2
Galvez U20
3
2
0
1
4:3
6
3
Piracicaba U20
3
1
0
2
4:5
3
4
Capivariano U20
3
1
0
2
4:6
3
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 14)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desportiva Ferroviaria U20
3
3
0
0
6:2
9
2
Vitoria U20
3
2
0
1
3:2
6
3
Novorizontino U20
3
1
0
2
4:4
3
4
Uniao Barbarense U20
3
0
0
3
1:6
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 15)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Trindade U20
3
3
0
0
6:0
9
2
Flamengo RJ U20
3
2
0
1
8:1
6
3
River-PI U20
3
1
0
2
2:7
3
4
Jaguariuna U20
3
0
0
3
1:9
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 16)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Figueirense U20
3
3
0
0
9:3
9
2
Botafogo SP U20
3
2
0
1
9:3
6
3
Itapirense U20
3
1
0
2
4:6
3
4
CRB U20
3
0
0
3
0:10
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 17)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Corinthians U20
3
2
1
0
9:5
7
2
Ituano U20
3
2
1
0
8:4
7
3
Sinop FC U20
3
1
0
2
3:7
3
4
Capital FC U20
3
0
0
3
5:9
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 18)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Red Bull Brasil U20
3
1
2
0
5:2
5
2
CA Porto U20
3
1
2
0
5:4
5
3
Vila Nova FC U20
3
1
0
2
6:9
3
4
Paulista U20
3
0
2
1
3:4
2
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 19)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Primavera EC U20
3
2
1
0
8:2
7
2
Fortaleza U20
3
2
1
0
7:1
7
3
Sertaozinho U20
3
1
0
2
7:8
3
4
Queimadense U20
3
0
0
3
2:13
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 20)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Visao Celeste U20
3
2
0
1
5:3
6
2
Desportivo U20
3
1
1
1
3:3
4
3
Remo U20
3
1
1
1
1:1
4
4
Uberlandia U20
3
1
0
2
1:3
3
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 21)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Gremio U20
3
2
1
0
12:3
7
2
Osasco Sporting U20
3
2
0
1
5:4
6
3
Lagarto U20
3
1
1
1
3:3
4
4
Sao Raimundo RR U20
3
0
0
3
1:11
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 22)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
CSA U20
3
2
0
1
3:3
6
2
EC Sao Bernardo U20
3
1
2
0
5:2
5
3
Sao Bernardo FC U20
3
1
1
1
3:2
4
4
ABC U20
3
0
1
2
3:7
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 23)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Osasco Audax U20
3
3
0
0
7:0
9
2
Fluminense U20
3
2
0
1
9:2
6
3
Parnahyba U20
3
1
0
2
3:10
3
4
Sete de Dourados U20
3
0
0
3
0:7
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 24)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Londrina U20
3
2
1
0
8:2
7
2
Taboao da Serra U20
3
1
1
1
2:3
4
3
Elosport U20
3
1
1
1
2:4
4
4
Confianca U20
3
0
1
2
1:4
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 25)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Sao Caetano U20
3
2
1
0
6:2
7
2
Uniao Mogi U20
3
1
2
0
1:0
5
3
Santos U20
3
1
1
1
6:3
4
4
Sergipe U20
3
0
0
3
2:10
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 26)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Coritiba U20
3
2
1
0
7:5
7
2
Flamengo SP U20
3
2
0
1
5:2
6
3
Guarulhos U20
3
1
0
2
4:5
3
4
Madureira U20
3
0
1
2
2:6
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 27)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vasco U20
3
2
1
0
5:1
7
2
Tubarao U20
3
1
1
1
6:2
4
3
Taubate U20
3
1
1
1
3:3
4
4
Carajas U20
3
0
1
2
2:10
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 28)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manthiqueira U20
3
2
1
0
6:4
7
2
EC Juventude U20
3
1
2
0
2:1
5
3
Real Ariquemes U20
3
1
0
2
2:3
3
4
Bragantino U20
3
0
1
2
2:4
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 29)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Atletico-MG U20
3
3
0
0
8:1
9
2
Agua Santa U20
3
1
0
2
6:6
3
3
Aquidauanense U20
3
1
0
2
5:8
3
4
Jacobina U20
3
1
0
2
6:10
3
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 30)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Avai U20
3
2
0
1
11:4
6
2
CA Juventus U20
3
1
1
1
4:4
4
3
Internacional de Limeira U20
3
1
1
1
5:11
4
4
America RN U20
3
1
0
2
5:6
3
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 31)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Goias U20
3
2
1
0
8:1
7
2
Nacional SP U20
3
2
1
0
3:1
7
3
Sao Bento U20
3
1
0
2
1:6
3
4
Santa Cruz U20
3
0
0
3
0:4
0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 32)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Portuguesa U20
3
2
1
0
4:1
7
2
Volta Redonda U20
3
2
0
1
2:1
6
3
Parana U20
3
0
2
1
1:2
2
4
Santo Andre U20
3
0
1
2
2:5
1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 (Play Offs)