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Manthiqueira U20 vs Tubarao U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019
Sat, Jan 12, 2019
3 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manthiqueira U20 play Tubarao U20 in the Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Manthiqueira U20 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.36 conceded. Tubarao U20 averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Manthiqueira U20 won 1, Tubarao U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 12, 2019 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Manthiqueira U20 and 2.13 for Tubarao U20. This points to a Manthiqueira U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Manthiqueira U20
17%
Draws
33%
Tubarao U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Manthiqueira U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Manthiqueira U20 picked up more points recently compared to Tubarao U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Manthiqueira U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Tubarao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manthiqueira U20 Tubarao U20
Matches Played 14 10
Wins 4 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.36 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2019 Copinha
Manthiqueira U20 vs Tubarao U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manthiqueira U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hendrick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tubarao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moraes V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diordi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira U20 47 / 100
Tubarao U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manthiqueira U20 Tubarao U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Manthiqueira U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Manthiqueira U20 attacking → ← attacking Tubarao U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manthiqueira U20 scored in 64% of their last 14 games.

Tubarao U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Manthiqueira U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tubarao U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 10
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75