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Manthiqueira vs Jose Bonifacio EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Fermiano da Silva P. M.
58' Event
Andrade G.

AI Match Summary

Jose Bonifacio EC in this Paulista B tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Manthiqueira
33%
Draws
40%
Jose Bonifacio EC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Jose Bonifacio EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jose Bonifacio EC lately — more wins on the board than Manthiqueira.
  • Win probability leans Jose Bonifacio EC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Jose Bonifacio EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jose Bonifacio EC, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 16%
Jose Bonifacio EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manthiqueira Jose Bonifacio EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Manthiqueira
2:1
Jun 27, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Jose Bonifacio EC
0:2
Aug 20, 2017 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Jose Bonifacio EC
1:0
Jul 15, 2017 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Manthiqueira
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manthiqueira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jose Bonifacio EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fermiano da Silva P. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrade G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira 28 / 100
Jose Bonifacio EC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manthiqueira Jose Bonifacio EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manthiqueira scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Jose Bonifacio EC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Manthiqueira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manthiqueira VS Jose Bonifacio EC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manthiqueira

(Home)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
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Jose Bonifacio EC

(Away)
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0
Jose Bonifacio EC
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1
Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independente SP4
Tupa0
Paulinense3
Sao Carlos0
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
Matonense1
Assisense0
Itaqua6
Paulinia FU1
Maua FC3
Uniao Mogi5
Jose Bonifacio EC4
Manthiqueira1
America SP3
Santacruzense0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP3
Paulinense1
Flamengo SP4
Matonense1
Itaqua5
Uniao Mogi1
Jose Bonifacio EC2
America SP4
Semi-finals
Independente SP-
Flamengo SP-
Itaqua-
America SP-
Final
TBD-
TBD-