Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Fermiano da Silva P. M.
58'
58'
Andrade G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jose Bonifacio EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Manthiqueira at 1.58 per game, Jose Bonifacio EC at 1.27.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Jose Bonifacio EC, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 16%
Jose Bonifacio EC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manthiqueira | Jose Bonifacio EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Manthiqueira
2:1
Jun 27, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Jose Bonifacio EC
0:2
Aug 20, 2017 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Jose Bonifacio EC
1:0
Jul 15, 2017 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Manthiqueira
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manthiqueira Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Jose Bonifacio EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Fermiano da Silva P. M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Andrade G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manthiqueira 36 / 100
Jose Bonifacio EC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manthiqueira Jose Bonifacio EC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jose Bonifacio EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Manthiqueira scored in 72% of their last 36 games.
Jose Bonifacio EC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Manthiqueira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Manthiqueira VS Jose Bonifacio EC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Manthiqueira
(Home) 05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Itaqua
Page 1 of 8
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Itaqua
23 May
Manthiqueira
4 : 2 Maua FC
09 May
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Barcelona SP
Page 1 of 4
Jose Bonifacio EC
(Away) 19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4 America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0 Jose Bonifacio EC
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1 Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0 Jose Bonifacio EC
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1 Jose Bonifacio EC
29 May
Santa Fe SP
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
08 May
Assisense
2 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Independente SP 4
Tupa 0
Paulinense 3
Sao Carlos 0
Flamengo SP 2
Audax-SP 1
Matonense 1
Assisense 0
Itaqua 6
Paulinia FU 1
Maua FC 3
Uniao Mogi 5
Jose Bonifacio EC 4
Manthiqueira 1
America SP 3
Santacruzense 0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP 3
Paulinense 1
Flamengo SP 4
Matonense 1
Itaqua 5
Uniao Mogi 1
Jose Bonifacio EC 2
America SP 4
Semi-finals
Independente SP 2
Flamengo SP 1
Itaqua 1
America SP 4
Final
Independente SP 4
America SP 3
