Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Medeiros D.
44'
44'
Regio de Oliveira D.
90'
90'
Leo Aaron
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Manthiqueira and Mauaense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manthiqueira.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manthiqueira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Mauaense haven't matched Manthiqueira's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Manthiqueira taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 16%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manthiqueira | Mauaense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Mauaense
2:1
May 16, 2026 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Manthiqueira
2:2
Jun 7, 2025 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Mauaense
1:0
May 3, 2025 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Manthiqueira
4:0
Jun 22, 2024 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Mauaense
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manthiqueira Compare
Top Goalscorer Medeiros D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Regio de Oliveira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Mauaense Compare
Top Goalscorer Leo Aaron
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manthiqueira 41 / 100
Mauaense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manthiqueira Mauaense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Manthiqueira scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Mauaense conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Mauaense lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Manthiqueira VS Mauaense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Manthiqueira
(Home) 05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Itaqua
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Itaqua
23 May
Manthiqueira
4 : 2 Maua FC
09 May
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Barcelona SP
Page 1 of 3
Mauaense
(Away) 20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1 Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2 Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1 Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2 Itaqua
Page 1 of 7
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2 Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1 Mauaense
10 May
Uniao Mogi
0 : 1 Mauaense
19 Apr
Itaqua
1 : 0 Mauaense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
