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Mantova vs Carpi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Tcheuna R.

AI Match Summary

Carpi in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carpi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mantova
15%
Draws
48%
Carpi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carpi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mantova have won more games recently than Carpi.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Carpi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mantova Clean Sheet 20%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Carpi
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Mantova vs Carpi
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Mantova vs Carpi
0:0
Feb 1, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Mantova
2:0
Oct 4, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Mantova vs Carpi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Carpi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tcheuna R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 31 / 100
Carpi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Carpi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mantova found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Carpi let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mantova stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS Carpi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
31 Oct
Modena
1 : 1
Mantova
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Entella
0 : 1
Mantova
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
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Carpi

(Away)
01 Nov
Carpi
0 : 5
Renate
28 Oct
Carpi
4 : 3
Ravenna
24 Oct
Alcione Milano
1 : 2
Carpi
17 Oct
Carpi
3 : 1
Lumezzane
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
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