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Mantova vs Cremonese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bonazzoli F.
Assist: Vandeputte J.
13'
Sub
Vogliacco A. In: Luperto S.
Out: Vogliacco A.
24'
Lottici Tessadri S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Mantova and Cremonese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cremonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mantova
20%
Draws
40%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mantova come out ahead of Cremonese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mantova's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mantova Clean Sheet 15%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Cremonese
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.96 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Cremonese
0:2
Apr 25, 2025 Serie B
Cremonese vs Mantova
4:2
Nov 9, 2024 Serie B
Mantova vs Cremonese
1:0
Feb 6, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Mantova vs Cremonese
0:2
Sep 27, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Cremonese vs Mantova
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonazzoli F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nasti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 35 / 100
Cremonese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mantova scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Mantova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Cremonese conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS Cremonese
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Entella
0 : 1
Mantova
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
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Cremonese

(Away)
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Cremonese
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
17 Oct
Pisa
3 : 1
Cremonese
10 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 0
Cremonese
02 Oct
Juventus
0 : 1
Cremonese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)