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Mantova vs Empoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Yepes G.
42'
Trimboli S.
49'
Zedadka K.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Mantova and Empoli finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Mantova
30%
Draws
16%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Mantova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Mantova taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mantova Clean Sheet 20%
Empoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Empoli
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Empoli
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Serie B
Empoli vs Mantova
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie B
Mantova vs Empoli
0:1
Mar 23, 2010 Serie B
Empoli vs Mantova
4:0
Oct 17, 2009 Serie B
Mantova vs Empoli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruocco F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vlahovic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Saporiti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 58 / 100
Empoli 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mantova scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Empoli conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Mantova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS Empoli
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
31 Oct
Modena
1 : 1
Mantova
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Entella
0 : 1
Mantova
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

Empoli

(Away)
01 Nov
Empoli
2 : 2
Juve Stabia
27 Oct
Cesena
2 : 1
Empoli
23 Oct
Empoli
0 : 2
Vicenza
17 Oct
Ascoli
1 : 1
Empoli
10 Oct
Empoli
2 : 4
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)