Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mantova vs Pisa

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gliozzi E.
Assist: Ignacchiti L.
38' Event
Pittarello F.
Assist: Moreo S.
43'
Caracciolo Ant.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Mantova and Pisa finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mantova
30%
Draws
33%
Pisa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mantova come out ahead of Pisa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mantova's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Mantova Clean Sheet 68%
Pisa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Pisa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Pisa
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 Serie B
Pisa vs Mantova
3:1
Dec 7, 2024 Serie B
Mantova vs Pisa
2:3
Apr 21, 2009 Serie B
Pisa vs Mantova
1:1
Nov 14, 2008 Serie B
Mantova vs Pisa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Gliozzi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vlahovic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Pisa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pittarello F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 77 / 100
Pisa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Pisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mantova scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Pisa has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Mantova stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS Pisa
3.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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Pisa

(Away)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Pisa
1 : 4
Entella
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3
Pisa
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 3
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)