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Mantova vs Sampdoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Benaissa F.
28'
Insigne L.
43'
Modesto F.

AI Match Summary

Mantova in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mantova
20%
Draws
29%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sampdoria haven't matched Mantova's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Mantova taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mantova Clean Sheet 68%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Sampdoria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Sampdoria
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Sampdoria
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Mantova
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Serie B
Mantova vs Sampdoria
2:2
Oct 27, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Mantova
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruocco F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Longonda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sampdoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 59 / 100
Sampdoria 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mantova scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Sampdoria conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Mantova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS Sampdoria
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
31 Oct
Modena
1 : 1
Mantova
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Entella
0 : 1
Mantova
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
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Sampdoria

(Away)
31 Oct
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Entella
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Arezzo
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)