Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mantova vs Sampdoria

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Begic T.
Assist: Brunori M.
45'
Di Pardo A.
46'
Sub
Paoletti F. In: Buso N.
Out: Paoletti F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Mantova and Sampdoria finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mantova
6%
Draws
4%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mantova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mantova are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mantova Clean Sheet 68%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Sampdoria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Sampdoria
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Mantova
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Serie B
Mantova vs Sampdoria
2:2
Oct 27, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Mantova
1:0
Apr 2, 1972 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Mantova
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Bragantini D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sampdoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Begic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 95 / 100
Sampdoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mantova found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Sampdoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Mantova went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS Sampdoria
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
30 Jul
Mantova
6 : 2
Alcione Milano
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0
Ambrosiana
08 May
Frosinone
5 : 0
Mantova
01 May
Mantova
3 : 2
Monza
25 Apr
Sudtirol
0 : 3
Mantova
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Sampdoria

(Away)
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
18 Jul
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Taverne
08 May
Reggiana
1 : 0
Sampdoria
01 May
Sampdoria
1 : 0
Sudtirol
25 Apr
Cesena
0 : 0
Sampdoria
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)