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Mantova vs Vigor Carpaneto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bruno S.
Own Goal
90' Event
Scappi F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mantova
35%
Draws
38%
Vigor Carpaneto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mantova lately — more wins on the board than Vigor Carpaneto.
  • Model gives Mantova a 27% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Mantova Clean Sheet 68%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Vigor Carpaneto
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Mantova vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:1
Sep 22, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Mantova
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Vigor Carpaneto Compare

Top Goalscorer Scappi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 50 / 100
Vigor Carpaneto 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Vigor Carpaneto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mantova found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Vigor Carpaneto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mantova remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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Vigor Carpaneto

(Away)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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